{"id":1104,"date":"2020-05-04T22:02:44","date_gmt":"2020-05-05T05:02:44","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/bellm.org\/blog\/?p=1104"},"modified":"2020-05-04T22:02:44","modified_gmt":"2020-05-05T05:02:44","slug":"may-4-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/bellm.org\/blog\/2020\/05\/04\/may-4-2020\/","title":{"rendered":"May 4, 2020"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;ve been pushing on a time-sensitive work project, which has mostly kept me from reading or thinking too much about the news.<\/p>\n<p>That&#8217;s mostly been for the best, as the implications of the current situation are not good.? Despite all of the social distancing efforts, case counts in the US aren&#8217;t declining, they are <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/trvrb\/status\/1255976675252158465\">plateauing<\/a>.? The news seems to be accepting this as a &#8220;new normal,&#8221; with no real acknowledgement that we could try to find a way forward that is somewhere between ?like before? and ?total lockdown.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Gradual (or full) reopenings are happening in some places, though, and somehow folks still don&#8217;t grasp that that means that case counts and deaths will increase again over the next month.? It boggles my mind, but it seems like a lot of folks have have become&#8230; less informed? about infectious diseases over the last two months.? As the aphorism goes,<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>It ain?t what you don?t know that gets you into trouble. It?s what you know for sure that just ain?t so.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>While thankfully children seem mostly unphased by COVID, they still <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/c_drosten\/status\/1255555995671150597\">carry the virus<\/a> at comparable levels to adults&#8211;which has unfortunate implications for school resuming.<\/p>\n<p>A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wired.com\/story\/prophet-of-scientific-rigor-and-a-covid-contrarian\/\">telling profile<\/a> about what happens when even the best scientists lose their epistemic humility&#8230;<\/p>\n<p>Sweden is starting to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.project-syndicate.org\/commentary\/swedish-coronavirus-no-lockdown-model-proves-lethal-by-hans-bergstrom-2020-04\">look worse<\/a>.?? (Though plenty will continue to argue the point on the Internet.)<\/p>\n<p>Some research results are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/d41586-020-01295-8\">showing<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/criccomini\/status\/1257448793215242241\">promise<\/a>, which highlights another reason to flatten the curve.? How tragic would it be to end social distancing prematurely, only to have improved treatments become available soon thereafter?<\/p>\n<p>At least <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/05\/03\/opinion\/dave-eggers-coronavirus-questions.html\">this was funny<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;ve been pushing on a time-sensitive work project, which has mostly kept me from reading or thinking too much about the news. That&#8217;s mostly been for the best, as the implications of the current situation are not good.? Despite all of the social distancing efforts, case counts in the US aren&#8217;t declining, they are plateauing.? [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1104","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-covid-19"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/bellm.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1104","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/bellm.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/bellm.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/bellm.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/bellm.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1104"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/bellm.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1104\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1105,"href":"http:\/\/bellm.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1104\/revisions\/1105"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/bellm.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1104"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/bellm.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1104"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/bellm.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1104"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}